昨天大陆海内外由中共管治的全部网站,都几乎同时转发了美国知名调查机构皮尤中心(Pew Research Center)一项民意调查结果《各国国民满意度中国排第一 八成国人对前景乐观》 。
本来对这种民调没什么兴趣的,因为自从看了何清涟老师的《雾锁中国》之后,对中共控制媒体的程度有了比较深入的认识,也知道了即使是境外媒体、机 构在国内所做的调查也是需要经过中共官方的,所以PEW这个调查肯定不会例外,但既然网上骂声一片,俺也就看看吧,当然不能看断章取义的,这里先放上来原文:
The Chinese Celebrate Their Roaring Economy, As They Struggle With Its Costs http://pewglobal.org/reports/display.php?ReportID=261
这个是全文,共50页。
Survey Details /民调详情
Sample Design: Probability
Mode: Face-to-face adults 18 plus
Languages: Chinese (dialects: Mandarin, Henan, Sichun, Shanghaiese, Guizhou, Hebei, Shanxi, Cantonese, Guangxi, Hubei, Zhjiang, Jiangxi, Hunan, Beijingese, Dongbei, Anhui)
Fieldwork dates: March 28 - April 19, 2008
Sample size: 3,212
Margin of error: 2%
The sample, which is disproportionately representative of China’s urban areas, includes eight major cities, as well as medium-sized towns and rural areas in eight Chinese provinces. The area covered by the sample represents approximately 42% of the country’s adult population. The cities sampled were Beijing, Changsha, Chongqing, Guangzhou, Harbin, Shanghai, Wuhan and Xi’an. The towns and rural areas were sampled from the provinces of Guangxi, Guizhou, Hebei, Henan, Jiangxi, Liaoning, Shanxi and Zhejiang.
4、最后,俺要说一下这个Pew Research Center,俺对民调方面无甚研究,不知道这个PEW的权威性如何,但从中共近些年对海外媒体、机构的渗透能力来看,PEW到底有什么背景、是不是它网 站上宣称的是一个完全无倾向性(non-advocacy)的机构,俺是抱有一定的怀疑的,俺总有怀疑的权力吧?!